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The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)Industry Report: API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by about 500,000 barrels last week. According to american petroleum institute (API) data, API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by+499,000 barrels in the week of December 6, compared with+1.232 million barrels in the previous week. Last week, API Cushing crude oil inventory was-1.517 million barrels, with the previous value of+112,000 barrels. Last week, the inventory of API refined oil gasoline was+2.852 million barrels (previous value+4.623 million barrels) and the inventory of distillate oil was-185,000 barrels (previous value+1.014 million barrels).

The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The quarterly rate of manufacturing activity in New Zealand in the third quarter was -1.2%, and the previous value was 0.60%.

US Central Command: The US military repelled the Houthi armed attack. On December 10, local time, the US Central Command said that two destroyers of the US Navy successfully repelled a series of weapons launched by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen when they crossed the Gulf of Aden from September 9 to 10. According to the statement, the destroyer intercepted and shot down several one-way attack drone systems and an anti-ship cruise missile. According to the US Central Command, the US Navy destroyer successfully repelled the Houthi armed attack during the transit from November 30 to December 1. (CCTV)The New Zealand dollar just hit the 0.5800 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.5800, down 1.08% in the day.According to statistics, since November, a total of 138 A-share listed companies have announced plans to increase their holdings, of which 88 have disclosed specific plans to increase their holdings. Judging from the upper limit of the amount to be increased, if all listed companies increase their holdings, the total increase will exceed 25.3 billion yuan. In terms of industries, the number of listed companies that have recently released plans to increase their holdings is mainly concentrated in three major industries: transportation, machinery and equipment, and electronics, with 10 companies. Statistics show that 48 listed companies intend to increase their holdings by more than 100 million yuan, among which 8 listed companies have announced that their holdings will reach 1 billion yuan or more, including Dongfang Shenghong, China Jushi, Lujiazui and Sailun Tire. Among the listed companies that have issued plans to increase their holdings since November, 29 companies indicated that the sources of funds include special loan funds. (Securities Times)